Fantasy Forecast: Week 6

James Morris hails from Rio Rancho, NM and has been playing fantasy sports for well over a decade. Not only does he write the Bengals fantasy section, but he also does the Jacksonville Jaguars and Arizona Cardinals fantasy sections, as well as the Boston Celtics, Indiana Pacers and Minnesota Timberwolves fantasy basketball sections in the NBA. Just send him an email and he will reply back the same day with your answer.

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With every fantasy football season comes wins, losses and adversity. This week Packers TE Jermichael Finley went down for the season with a knee injury, QB Aaron Rodgers suffered a concussion in the same game and the Chargers placed LB Shawne Merriman on injured reserve with a calf injury for the purpose of releasing him once he is healthy again.

Finley is obviously a huge loss and you will want to move quickly to snatch up Aaron Hernandez or Mercedes Lewis off the waiver wire. Rodgers is expected to start on Sunday against the Dolphins and looks like a solid top five play as always. Merriman on the other hand, is only really a factor for those who play in IDP leagues. And, even then, Merriman was not someone that you should have owned.

Then, on Wednesday, the Eagles acquired RB Jerome Harrison from the Browns in exchange for RB Mike Bell. Both players stay in the same backup role they were in on their former teams and neither holds any fantasy value unless the starter goes down.

Byes: Cardinals, Bills, Panthers, Bengals

**START 'EM**

Jay Cutler: Cutler has been cleared to play this week and will start for the Bears. The better news for Cutler owners is that he faces a Seahawks defense that allows 302 YPG in the air (31st in NFL) and has given up six passing touchdowns in the first four games.

Joe Flacco: Flacco has thrown for 1,116 yards and five TDs in the first five games, but he has also thrown six interceptions thus far. I like Flacco this weekend because the Patriots pass defense is 28th in the league and they have given up nine - that's right - 9 passing TDs through the first four games. The Patriots are coming off their bye, but bad play is bad play.

Michael Bush: Bush burst out last week with 104 yards rushing, 31 yards receiving and a score, and that was against the Chargers top 10-ranked run defense. This week he faces another in-state rival in the 49ers and they are 18th against the run. So, expect more of the same with a possible additional touchdown from Bush this week.

Jamaal Charles: Charles looks like he has finally taken over as the Chiefs starting RB and he had a 19-8 carry ratio with Thomas Jones. This week Charles will run up against the Texans and their fifth-ranked run defense. I personally think the Texans will give up some fantasy points to Charles this weekend, so I am going to start him in spite of the numbers.

Hakeem Nicks: Nicks is moving into the No. 1 WR role and pushing Steve Smith to his more natural role of WR2. Nicks has put up 240 yards and two TDs in the last two weeks, and he could easily do more of the same this weekend against the Lions. I know the Lions busted up the Rams offense last weekend, but the Giants are a far cry from the Rams.

Mike Wallace: Now, let me start and say I wouldn't go crazy and start Wallace as a WR1, but as a WR2, sure. He gets Big Ben Roethlisberger back this weekend and that is great news for the preseason WR sleeper.

Kellen Winslow: Winslow is not the best TE out there for fantasy owners to start, but you could certainly do worse. He is averaging 4.25 catches and 53.5 yards-per-game, so there is plenty of reason to be optimistic this weekend. I'd consider him a solid 7-8 TE this weekend.

Chicago Bears Defense: I was skeptical of the Bears defense heading into the season, but they are healthy and looking like the real deal. The Seahawks are as middle-of-the-road as it gets in the NFL and I see no reason why the Bears can't shut them out if the sun shines right on Sunday.

**SIT 'EM**

Kevin Kolb: I had high hopes for the successor to Donovan McNabb in the offseason, but that has since faded. Kolb failed to win the starting job back from Michael Vick and in the two games since his injury he has thrown for 201 and 253 yards and a single TD against the 30th- (Redskins) and 21st- (49ers) ranked pass defenses. This weekend he'll face the Falcons and simply don't trust him knowing that Coach Andy Reid also doesn't trust him.

Matt Ryan: Ryan and the Falcons have a nice squad on the field and should put up solid number on a weekly basis. But, so far this season Ryan has failed to hit the 300-yard mark in passing and his touchdowns have decreased every week since Week 2. The Eagles allow just 192.4 YPG in the air, good enough for the No. 8 spot and I have a hard time starting Ryan because of it.

Peyton Hillis: Hillis has been a waiver wire gem in the first month, but this week he runs into the Steelers and their stout defense. They give up just 62.2 YPG on the ground and have allowed just two rushing touchdowns. Try and play the guys you drafted instead of Hillis this weekend.

Marshawn Lynch: There was a stampede for Lynch when news broke of his trade to the Seahawks. Then, owners went nuts when Coach Pete Carroll made it clear that his new back is ready for a major role in his first game at Chicago. Here is where I come in: don't play Lynch this weekend. The Bears have the third best run defense in the league and they are all healthy heading into this game.

Davone Bess: Bess probably had his best game of the season in Week 5 as he racked up nine catches for 93 yards and a touchdown. What that means is far too many people picked him up off the wire and too many people are going to stick him in their lineup, hoping they catch lightning in a bottle this weekend. I don't see it happening because Bess is simply too inconsistent to count on and I don't think Brandon Marshall is humble enough to share the wealth twice in a row.

Johnny Knox: Knox was on everyone's sleeper list this summer as the Bears geared up for a more aggressive passing attack under new coordinator Mike Martz. But Knox has failed to impress with his average of 2.6 receptions and 54.4 yards-per-game, not to mention that he has failed to score in the first five games of the season. Not only would I not play Knox this weekend, but I would probably cut him all together if there is a producing WR on the wire right now.

John Carlson: Carlson is barely breaking TE2 numbers most weeks and yet there are still about 53 percent of owners starting him. I personally stayed away from Carlson in the draft because he has Matt Hasselbeck throwing to him and I am going to advise you to stay away from starting him this weekend as well.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: If there is one thing you can bet on most weeks it is Brett Favre snatching victory from the jaws of defeat. What that also does is turn games into shootouts in which fantasy defenses suffer. The Vikings play the Cowboys in what could be a fairly high-scoring game this weekend and I am staying away from the Vikings defense because of it.

**QUESTION OF THE WEEK**

Q: I can't handle the Cowgirls anymore. They are killing me! Here is who is available: Giants, Patriots, Seahawks, Titans. Who should I go with?
--D'Layne Kelly, San Antonio, TX

A: As of Week 6, the Giants are first in yards allowed on defense and the Cowboys are eigth in the NFL. I've got to say that the numbers don't paint the whole picture because the Cowboys are 28th in INTs and 27th in fumbles, which means they are getting you virtually no points each week.

That being said, I'd drop the Cowboys and add the Giants and not give it a second thought.

For those of you that have asked about how I started doing this and about me, read this article in the newspaper about me from this week.

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