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Fantasy Forecast: Week 4


James Morris hails from Rio Rancho, NM and has been playing fantasy sports for well over a decade. Not only does he write the Bengals fantasy section, but he also does the Jacksonville Jaguars and Arizona Cardinals fantasy sections, as well as the Boston Celtics, Indiana Pacers and Minnesota Timberwolves fantasy basketball sections in the NBA. Just send him an email and he will reply back the same day with your answer. brings free video highlights to Fantasy Football for the first time ever with Fantasy Football 2010. Video content is integrated throughout the game and gets you closer to the action to track your fantasy team from Week 1 to the playoffs. Features include player card videos that include highlights of your players, player news videos from and NFL Network, and live scoring with in-game video highlights.

With all sports, there are injuries and you need to stay up to date on those injuries so you can give yourself the best chance possible to take home the league title at the end of the season. As if injuries weren't bad enough, starting in Week 4 you have to deal with teams on their bye. That being said, I'll give you a rundown this week of important injuries and I'll also start posting the bye week teams so you can make the best plays possible.


Jahvid Best: Best is dealing with a Grade 2 case of Turf Toe. The problem with this type of injury is that it is easily aggravated and has to be monitored carefully. He will be a wait-and-see this week, but my gut says you should just bench him if you can.

Steve Breaston: Breaston had meniscus surgery and the Cardinals are targeting a Week 7 return right now. Players have been known to struggle in their return from meniscus procedures, so Breaston isn't a good bet to help fantasy owners until late Oct/early Nov.

Ray Rice: Coach John Harbaugh referred to Ray Rice's knee injury as a "significant" contusion, but backup Willis McGahee said Rice will play this week. Look for the Ravens to limit Rice's carries with the stifling Steelers run defense.

Knowshon Moreno: Moreno is dealing with a hamstring injury that is likely to keep him out for the second straight game this week. But, with the Broncos sporting the league's No. 1 passing attack, I don't see the team rushing him back unless Kyle Orton remembers he is Kyle Orton.

Andre Johnson: Johnson is being listed as a game-time decision with a high ankle sprain. Johnson says he will play this weekend, but the Texans are likely to limit his reps and he will be covered by shutdown corner Nnamdi Asomugha. Even if he does play, I wouldn't stick him in the top 10 for WRs this week.

Fred Taylor: Taylor injured his toe last Sunday and is being listed as likely out this weekend. BenJarvis Green-Ellis is going to get the nod over him this weekend and you want to make sure he is on your bench.

Pierre Thomas: Thomas tweaked his ankle and was unable to return to a game that went into overtime. Coach Sean Payton said Wednesday that the Saints have considered re-signing DeShawn Wynn, but will wait to "see how Pierre progresses." Check back in with me on Friday if you own Thomas.

Byes: Cowboys, Chiefs, Vikings, Buccaneers


Kyle Orton: As I mentioned earlier, the Broncos average 350 passing YPG and Orton is No. 2 in the NFL with 1,078 passing yards heading into Week 4. This week the Broncos match up against the 5th-ranked Titans pass defense. But, the Titans just allowed Eli Manning to throw for 386 yards, so I see no reason why Orton can't reach 300 on them as well.

Chad Henne: I'm not one of the bigger fans Henne has, but I also won't ignore the 363 yards and two TDs he threw against the Jets in Week 3. Brandon Marshall and Henne seem to have found their groove and the Patriots pass defense is ranked 25th in the NFL.

DeAngelo Williams: Williams has just 180 rushing yards through three games this season and has failed to score so far. But, he is averaging 4.2 YPC and the Saints give up the third-most YPG on the ground at 145.0. I am going to stick my neck out one more time for Williams this season and give him a play this week as an RB1.

Beanie Wells: Wells missed the first two games because of knee problems, but he burst into the spotlight in Week 3 when he rushed 14 times for 75 yards (5.4 YPC). Coach Ken Whisenhunt showed his confidence in Wells by saying, "When the big guy gets rolling, you can definitely feel it down there." I like Wells as a RB2 this week against the 9th-ranked Chargers run defense.

Mark Clayton: Clayton has 228 receiving yards this season with 17 receptions and two touchdowns, and that is likely to improve this weekend against the 30th-ranked Seahawks pass defense. I am really thinking Clayton could finish with WR1 numbers this week and would play him accordingly.

Austin Collie: Collie racked up 12 catches for 171 yards and two touchdowns last week. But, what's more impressive is his 32 targets this season and team-leading 25 percent thrown-to percentage. Collie is also catching 84 percent of the passes thrown his way, so I'd start him as a low-end WR1 this weekend.

Dustin Keller: Keller was the main target for Mark Sanchez last weekend with Braylon Edwards being punished. Keller was in my preseason sleeper list for TEs and is tied for fourth in targets at TE with 24. I have no problems starting Keller in the top five TEs for Week 4.

New York Jets Defense: After last weekend's 23 points allowed to the Dolphins, I've gotten more than a few emails wondering if the Jets defense should be played this weekend. They play the Bills, so this was an easy call to make and I have them in my top two defenses this weekend.


Joe Flacco: After last weekend's 262 yards and three touchdowns, Flacco went from a QB2 to someone worth starting in most formats. But, running into the Steelers defense takes you from a potential start back down to a must-sit. Start whomever you were starting before and wait one more week before giving Flacco the nod.

Mark Sanchez: After hooking up with Dustin Keller twice last weekend and finishing with 265 yards and three TDs, many owners are asking if they should start Sanchez as a QB1 this week. The answer is no. The Bills actually only give up 221.3 YPG in the air and are tied for fifth in touchdowns allowed. I am not buying into the hype and neither should you just yet.

BenJarvis Green-Ellis: Mr. Lawfirm (because of his name) has come up in readers emails time and time again this week and I have to put this puppy to rest. He rumbled his way to 98 yards on 16 carries (6.1 YPC), but his 40-yard dash time was 4.55 seconds and to give you an idea about that, offensive lineman Bruce Campbell ran a 4.85. In a nutshell, the 6.1 YPC won't continue and you will be stuck with a backup on your team.

Ahmad Bradshaw: Bradshaw has not broken 90 yards rushing in a single game this season and the Bears allow a league-best 39.7 YPG on the ground. The secondary is the Achilles heel for the Bears, giving up the fifth-most passing YPG at 279.3. Look for the Giants to air it out and leave the running game behind in this one.

Michael Crabtree: I had high hopes for Crabtree in his second year in the NFL. But, what happened was the exact opposite as he has just six catches for 81 yards and no touchdowns in the first three games of the season. He has been targeted 32 times with just six catches, which means he is sporting a 32 percent catch rating and a 16 percent thrown-to rating. The chances are there, but he simply isn't capitalizing on them and should be benched until he does.

Kevin Walter: Walter is all the rage after his Week 2 performance in Washington. But, his other two games gave him a grand total of five receptions for 63 yards. He does have three TDs this season, but that won't continue and the Texans run into the 2nd-ranked Raiders pass defense (127.7 YPG allowed).

Chris Cooley: Cooley has 14 receptions for 197 yards and a TD this season, but that breaks down to just 4.6 catches-per-game and the Eagles are 12th in the NFL in pass defense and fourth in TDs allowed with four. If Cooley is your best option at TE, then you have to play the best player you've got, but I don't trust him this weekend.

Tennessee Titans Defense: The Titans have the 7th-ranked defense in total yards allowed per game with 294.7. However, the Broncos are currently second in the NFL in offensive yards with 417.0 total YPG. I don't really trust Kyle Orton for a whole season, but you've got to ride the bandwagon until the wheels fall off, and they haven't come off yet.


Q: I have Hillis of CLE and Benson for CIN - I have to start one of them. I'm a Bengals fan and they are saying Hillis will get more points, but I don't recall the Bengals letting anyone run on them too much. My gut says start Benson and my fantasy league said sit him and play Hillis. What do you think?
--SSG Jerry Fink of Farmville, VA

A: The Bengals allow 105 YPG on the ground and the Browns give up 123 YPG. I'd give Benson a solid RB1 ranking this week and Hillis is closer to a mid-RB2. Defenses will key in on Hillis after his performance last weekend. That being said, don't sleep on Hillis; he is a bowling ball of a running back.

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