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Fantasy Forecast: Week 3

James Morris hails from Rio Rancho, NM and has been playing fantasy sports for well over a decade. Not only does he write the Bengals fantasy section, but he also does the Jacksonville Jaguars and San Diego Chargers fantasy sections, as well as the Indiana Pacers, Minnesota Timberwolves and Utah Jazz fantasy basketball sections in the NBA. Last season James finished with an 82 percent accuracy rating for fantasy predictions and will be here to answer any questions you may have about your specific team. Just send him an email and he will reply back the same day with your answer.

Who can overlook the fantasy weekends turned in by Chris Johnson, Frank Gore, Matt Schaub, or Andre Johnson? On that note, some guys we would like to forget about are Tom Brady, Randy Moss, Tony Romo, Reggie Wayne and Greg Jennings. Like any good game, we can't dwell on what happened last weekend, so we must move on to this weekend. This week I thought I would switch it up a little and give you some guys to sell high on and others to buy low on.


Joe Flacco: It's not that Flacco isn't a good NFL QB, but right now he is ranked in the top 5-7 for all fantasy players and he isn't that good. He isn't a bad guy to have on the bench, but if you are weak at RB or WR, see if you can flip Flacco while he has the value.

Byron Leftwich: I've been burned by this guy too many times to not put him on this list. Yes, it has only been two weeks, but sometimes you have to strike while the iron is hot.

Mike Bell: Pierre Thomas is back and the fantasy ride is over for Bell. Granted, Bell looked very good against the Lions, but he was just solid against the Eagles. Bell has knee issues and Thomas was the starter heading into the offseason.

Correll Buckhalter: The Broncos didn't draft Knowshon Moreno because they were bored. Moreno is getting the hang of the NFL game now and it won't be long before he has the starting role all to himself.

Mario Manningham: It's not that Manningham doesn't have value, but he is ranked in the top 2-3 for WRs right now and he isn't that good. Not to mention the fact that the Giants are a running team.

Denver Broncos Defense: In Week 1 the Broncos held the Bengals to seven points, and then they get Cleveland in Week 2 and hold them to just six points. Since fantasy defensive points are largely based on points allowed, the Broncos fantasy numbers are inflated.


Donovan McNabb: McNabb is injured and that knocks his value down; Michael Vick is on the roster, strike two; Kevin Kolb threw for 391 yards and two TDs in Week 2, strike three for the fickle-hearted McNabb owners. People are talking QB controversy and McNabb is the man in Philly.

Matt Forte: Forte only has 84 rushing yards and no TDs in the first two games, so owners are starting the bust talk. Jump on Forte before this weekend when the Bears try and establish the running game.

Pierre Thomas: Mike Bell looked good the first two weeks, but the job was Thomas' before the season started for a reason. Thomas is back this week and Bell is injured, so now is the time to buy low.

Antonio Bryant: Bryant has an injury problem, but he is a talented receiver that is better than most when he is on the field. Word is he may be back by this weekend, so now is a good time to buy low.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: The Ravens have given up 50 combined points to the Chiefs and Chargers, but the Ravens defense is better than it looks. I wouldn't have any problems buying low on them if the price is right.


Matt Schaub: Schaub put on a clinic last weekend as he threw for 357 yards and four TDs. The lack of a running game is forcing Schaub to pass more and he made better decisions last week, showing everyone that he can get it done.

Kevin Kolb: For just one more week Kevin Kolb will have value. The Chiefs head into Week 3 ranked 14th in pass defense with 201 YPG, but Kolb should light them up for 300+ yards and a couple more TDs. INTs are likely, but the yards and TDs will make up for it.

Maurice Jones-Drew: Who would have ever thought I would have to say to start MJD? In the first two games he has 163 rushing yards, 43 receiving yards and one TD, and that has many fantasy owners thinking if they should bench him. The good news is the Texans are dead last in rushing yards against with a 215 YPG average.

Matt Forte: Forte is in the same boat as Jones-Drew with fantasy owners. Bears coach Lovie Smith said Wednesday that the coaching staff "wants to get the running game going this week." Seattle is 26th for rushing yards against (166.5) and Forte is the feature back in Chicago.

Vincent Jackson: Jackson went off for six catches for 141 yards and a TD last weekend. This Sunday the Chargers match up against the Dolphins and their No. 23 ranked passing defense. Without LaDainian Tomlinson and a real running game, the Chargers are going to have to pass more often.

Devery Henderson: We all know the firepower that Drew Brees has at his disposal, but Henderson isn't a name that jumps out to most fans. Look, 174 yards and a score is good enough to get my attention. Oh, did I mention that Lance Moore is dealing with a bum hamstring and Henderson should start opposite Marques Colston?

Dustin Keller: The Titans are dead last for passing yards against with 339 YPG, and Keller is looking every bit as good as Jason Witten did last year. Tight ends are very much all or nothing plays, but Keller should be a good bet to put up some numbers against a soft passing defense.

Washington Redskins Defense: The Redskins defense is not a good one, but this week they play the helpless Detroit Lions, and that is reason enough to add them as a rental.

**SIT 'EM**

Brett Favre: I don't know why so many people are so high on Favre; he has done nothing to show such faith yet. I remember the days when 264 yards and three TDs was a single-game line, not a season line.

Matt Cassel: The Chiefs paid a lot of money for a guy that looks injury prone and has a sketchy supporting cast. Dwayne Bowe is every bit as good as Randy Moss, but the Chiefs have more problems than Cassel can overcome. Larry Johnson is near the end and Mark Bradley/Bobby Wade won't scare anyone.

Marion Barber: Marion "The Barbarian" is trying to practice this week enough to play on Monday, but even if he does play it will be limited action. I would sit him until next week just in case the Cowboys decide not to risk further injury.

Thomas Jones: The Jets have the Titans this week and while they are dead last in passing defense, they rank No. 2 in rushing defense. Jones only has one reception for -1 yard this season, so he won't be a factor in the passing game.

Brandon Marshall: The only reason I am even bothering to mention Marshall is because people keep asking me about trades involving him. Seriously people, it is time to trade him for whatever you can get. He is fantasy garbage at this point.

Devin Hester: Hester hasn't been the star of the Bears passing game so far this season and he is starting to remind me a lot of Dante Hall. Johnny Knox and Earl Bennett look like better options than Hester and it is only a matter of time before the Bears realize that too.

Ben Watson: People got too hyper over the first week's stats from Watson. Don't fall into that trap. Watson has never done what he was supposed to do and I won't be starting him this weekend.

New York Jets Defense: The Titans can put points on the board and Chris Johnson is, well, Chris Johnson. The Jets are ranked No. 1 in total yards against at 241.0 YPG, but I think this is the week that bubble gets busted.


Q: Thanks for the advice last week. I have another tough decision this coming Sunday. Do I start Brady at home against Atlanta or Rodgers on the road at St. Louis? Another couple of dilemmas I have are at WR and TE. I have planned to start Steve Smith (NYG) and Patrick Crayton (DAL) over Chad Ochocinco (CIN) and Nate Washington (TEN). Again, looking at opponents as the main gauge: PIT vs. CIN and TEN vs. NYJ. I like Chad O. but am nervous about starting him knowing he is facing the PIT defense. Of course I have Ray Rice (BAL) at Flex so I could move him out and put Chad in that spot. Also at TE I have Brent Celek (PHL) and Ben Watson (NE). I am leaning toward Celek simply because he had a lot of yards last week and is one of Kevin Kolb's favorite targets, but Ben Watson is also appealing but did not have a great game against NYJ last week, but neither did the rest of the Pats. Your thoughts?
--Charles Hayes Jr., North Carolina

A: On the surface I have to think Brady will want to bounce back big after a dismal Week 2 showing. Not that Rodgers is going to be any less appealing. Welker WANTS to be back, but he has to be able to cut sharply and he couldn't do that last week. He didn't take any reps at Wednesday's practice and he is a game-time decision. Make sure you watch that VERY closely.

With the WRs, Palmer will have to throw more and that means more targets for Ochocinco. I like him more than I do Crayton.

TE is Celek. Don't get hyper over Watson, a blocking TE that has skills in the passing game but doesn't get the targets.

If you want to have your question answered for all your friends to see, shoot me an email and I will give you some one-on-one attention.

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